Dec 12, 2012; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves power forward Kevin Love (42) asks for a foul call against the Denver Nuggets during the fourth quarter at Target Center. Timberwolves won 108-105. Mandatory Credit: Greg Smith-USA TODAY Sports

How much worse has Kevin Love been this season?

  How much worse has Kevin Love been this season? There’s been a lot of talk lately about Kevin Love and his Super Star status for the Timberwolves, good or bad. I’ve heard quite a few ‘talking heads’ say “he will be fine, he’s just getting healthy.” While that could very well be true, the problem is that if you’re a “Super Star” you don’t get to use that as an excuse.

   Kobe Bryant had a fractured finger, bad knee, bad wrist, etc… last season and he missed little to no games while playing at a high (very high) level. Dwayne Wade missed games last season, quite a few actually and he finished 3rd in the ‘Simple Rating’ formula, (The main components of the ‘Simple Ratings’ are a production measure (a variant of the PER rating) for a player’s own stats versus his opponent while he is on the court, as well as the court/off court plus minus).

   Thoughts on the ‘Simple Rating’ better indicator of a player’s production than the more popular PER (Player Efficiency Rating), and it combines +/-. By including +/- numbers, you can get a better indicator of the players’ impact to his team. To give you an indication as to where Love is, in terms of the NBA, here are the top 8 players in the NBA in ‘Simple Rating’. Also included, are the current 13 active Timberwolves.

   

Production

On Court/Off Court

Simple
 Player Min Own Opp Net On Off Net Rating
 Durant

81%

29.3

8.5

20.8

13

-4.5

17

19.5

 Bryant

79%

26.8

11

16.3

7.5

-16

23

18.6

 West

70%

21.3

10

11.4

5.4

-11

16

12.9

 James

77%

30.5

15

15.8

6.4

0

6.4

12.6

 Anthony

61%

26.7

16

10.7

11

-1.7

13

11.5

 T.Young

73%

18.6

14

4.9

2.3

-16

19

9.4

 Noah

83%

19.1

13

5.9

4.6

-11

15

9

 Ginobili

41%

18.3

11

7.8

13

2.2

11

8.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Budinger

13%

17.9

11

7.1

9.9

0.4

9.5

7.9

 Kirilenko

62%

20.1

12

8.6

3.3

-1.1

4.4

7.2

 Barea

36%

17.6

11

6.9

5.3

-0.4

5.8

6.5

 Pekovic

60%

18.9

14

5.2

3.7

-1.5

5.2

5.2

 Love

39%

19.7

16

4.2

3.4

0.5

2.8

3.7

 Williams

31%

14.7

11

3.6

2.8

1.1

1.7

3

 Shved

55%

13.4

11

2.2

2.1

1

1.1

1.8

 Cunningham

46%

15.2

12

2.7

-2

4.3

-5.9

-0.2

 Rubio

3%

17.4

13

4.5

-10

2

-12

-0.9

 Ridnour

65%

15.4

22

-6.6

1.7

1.6

0.1

-4.3

 Stiemsma

22%

7

16

-9.2

-2

2.5

-4.2

-7.5

 Roy

11%

8.4

20

-12

2.4

1.5

0.8

-7.7

 Amundson

8%

3.9

18

-14

-7

2.4

-9.6

-12.5

   While this article isn’t intended to be on the Timberwolves as a whole, this article is to focus on where the Wolves star ranks in the NBA so far this season. Currently at this point of the season, Kevin Love has a ‘Simple Rating’ of 3.7. In contrast to last season, Love had a ‘Simple Rating’ of 9.8 and was 12th in the NBA. Through Love’s NBA career, Wolves fans have seen Love grow by leaps and bounds over his 1st 4 years. Now in his 5th year, after signing his ‘BIG’ contract, his numbers are not anywhere near his contract would indicate he should be.

Season

PER

TS%

eFG%

TRB%

AST%

TOV%

USG%

ORtg

DRtg

OWS

DWS

WS

WS/48

2008-09

18.3

0.538

0.461

21

6.8

12.4

21

112

109

3.4

1.9

5.3

0.12

2009-10

20.7

0.549

0.478

21.5

12.9

13.2

22.4

113

109

3.4

1.5

4.9

0.14

2010-11

24.3

0.593

0.513

23.6

11.8

11.1

22.9

123

108

9

2.5

11.4

0.21

2011-12

25.4

0.568

0.497

19

10

9.2

28.8

117

104

7.6

2.3

10

0.22

2012-13

18.3

0.461

0.39

22.2

12.2

10.3

28.8

100

99

0.3

1

1.3

0.12

Career

22.2

0.558

0.484

21.4

10.5

11.1

24.1

116

107

23.7

9.2

32.9

0.18

   His WS (win shares) are downright pitiful so far this season. Both his TS(True Shooting) and eFG (effective Field goal) percentages are the lowest in his NBA career.  I know this season is young, and there is time, but so far, none of these numbers are encouraging. There are a lot of factors that can possibly go into the decline of these numbers: all of the injuries to both Love and the team, new personnel, lack of practice time due to injuries, the whole team has yet to play together due to injuries. All of those reasons could be used as valid explanations to his ugly shooting, BUT, when you want to be the number 1, ’The Go to Guy’, there should be no excuses, ‘Go to Guys’ just go out and perform.

  The ‘Simple Rating’ that was highlighted above, uses the PER as part of its overall calculation. Here is a look at straight PER and were Kevin Love ranks in the NBA.

Rk

Player

PER

TS%

eFG%

TRB%

AST%

TOV%

USG%

ORtg

DRtg

WS

WS/48

1

LeBron James

29.6

0.607

0.579

13.9

34.1

11.3

29.7

121

102

5.7

0.28

2

Kevin Durant

28.3

0.652

0.565

12.3

19.9

13.8

29.2

122

101

6.6

0.28

3

Chris Paul

26

0.586

0.521

6.4

45.8

13.9

21.7

126

98

5.9

0.30

4

Carmelo Anthony

25.9

0.592

0.535

9.9

10.4

9.7

34.1

114

107

3.7

0.20

5

Kobe Bryant

25.5

0.594

0.529

7.6

25.6

12.5

32.8

117

107

5.2

0.22

6

Tim Duncan

25

0.55

0.501

19

14.7

9.3

26

111

94

4

0.22

7

Nene Hilario

23.7

0.613

0.523

14.5

22.6

16.6

25.3

114

101

1.4

0.21

8

James Harden

23.5

0.604

0.505

6.6

24

14.3

28.4

116

106

4.5

0.21

9

Andray Blatche

23.3

0.538

0.494

16.9

10.2

12.1

26.9

109

101

2.1

0.17

10

Blake Griffin

23.3

0.562

0.539

16

16.9

10.6

25.5

113

96

4.3

0.22

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

57

Matt Barnes

18.3

0.604

0.579

11.5

8.2

12.4

18.5

117

98

2.9

0.20

58

Goran Dragic

18.3

0.552

0.511

5.2

31

14.5

21.2

112

109

2.3

0.13

59

Kevin Love

18.3

0.461

0.39

22.2

12.2

10.3

28.8

100

99

1.3

0.12

60

Kevin Martin

18.3

0.65

0.572

5.1

8.4

10.1

20.7

125

108

3.3

0.19

61

Thaddeus Young

18.3

0.548

0.535

11.6

7.5

8.9

19.6

110

103

2.9

0.13

   He ranks 59! 59th in the NBA in PER. We talked about him being injured, so was Nene and he is 7th. Can the 18.3 PER ranking change? Sure it can, there is no doubt about that. Kevin will need to get his shot to start falling if he wants to get this 59th rank PER back to where it was last season. Last season, Kevin Love ranked 6th in PER at 25.4 in the NBA.

  There was talk about Kevin Love being ‘The Best Power Forward’ in the NBA coming into this season. The production of PF’s (power forward) in the league would go to show Kevin Love is not even close to being in the running for ‘Best Power Forward’ in the NBA at this point of the season.

 

MPG

MIN%

USG%

TOr

FT%

2P%

3P%

TS%

PPG

RPG

TRB%

AST%

SPG

BPG

VI

Andrea Bargnani

32.6

66.2

26.2

0.096

0.828

0.431

0.319

0.485

16

4.3

7.8

7.6

0.57

0.71

5.5

Anthony Davis

31.2

64.1

22.3

0.11

0.841

0.5

0

0.557

14.5

8.4

16

4.7

1.2

1.8

5.9

Blake Griffin

31.8

66.1

25.6

0.106

0.623

0.545

0.2

0.562

18

8.7

16.1

17

1.52

0.66

9.9

Byron Mullens

30.8

63.3

20.7

0.108

0.709

0.412

0.303

0.455

11.6

7.8

14.2

8.3

0.85

0.85

6.7

Carlos Boozer

29.2

60.7

24.7

0.122

0.681

0.469

0

0.494

13.7

9.2

18.2

12.8

0.78

0.48

8.7

David Lee

37.6

77.2

23.5

0.127

0.819

0.538

0

0.576

19.9

11.1

16.5

17.4

0.93

0.24

9.9

David West

33.6

69.3

24.8

0.098

0.704

0.504

0

0.53

17.4

8.1

13.3

16.2

0.61

0.96

8.6

Glen Davis

32.8

68

25.8

0.109

0.747

0.451

0

0.488

16

7.9

13.6

10.1

1.04

0.68

7.6

Jason Maxiell

26.4

54.3

15.9

0.133

0.663

0.453

0

0.497

8

6

12.9

3.4

0.45

1.48

4.4

Jason Thompson

29.6

61.2

17.5

0.111

0.712

0.51

0

0.54

11.1

7.9

15.2

7.5

0.61

1.04

6.6

Josh Smith

35.1

71.8

27

0.14

0.51

0.462

0.364

0.482

17

8.3

13.7

18.4

1.44

2.08

9.1

Kenneth Faried

29

60

18.5

0.1

0.587

0.527

0

0.549

12.2

10

19.1

4.3

0.97

0.97

6.4

Kevin Love

34.7

71.7

29

0.1

0.69

0.42

0.23

0.46

19

14

22.3

12.4

0.8

0.5

9.8

LaMarcus Aldridge

37.9

77.4

26.8

0.089

0.818

0.472

0

0.517

21.1

8.3

12.8

11.3

1.08

1.32

7.7

LeBron James

37.4

77.7

29.9

0.113

0.703

0.566

0.429

0.607

25.6

8.7

14.1

34.4

1.38

0.88

12.3

   Taking every PF that averages over 29 MPG (Minutes per Game), Love is near the bottom in almost every shooting category. More telling he has the lowest TS% (True Shooting) among all of the PF. Love is #1 in TRB% (True Rebounding), but because he doesn’t block shots or have any steals, he would really seem to be a 1 trick pony when you look at the numbers. In the NBA, only 3 players with at least 25 games played have a higher TRB%.

 

TRB% 

Anderson Varejao

23.3

Reggie Evans

23.2

J.J. Hickson

22.3

Kevin Love

22.2

   Is there time for Kevin Love to improve his shot? Yes, there is no doubt about that, and that would seem to be the only thing missing from his game right now. Due to his injury and the way it happened and the comments made to Yahoo, it’s becoming more difficult to be patient with Love because of those factors and his who contract debacle still trickling over from last season. In the past, he has complained he doesn’t have the supporting cast. This season that is no longer a valid excuse. With 31% of the season gone (26 games), there is time (56 games). In a tough Western Conference the sooner Kevin Love can get his shot going, the better off this team will be for a team that had high hopes entering the year.

Tags: Anderson Varejao J.J. Hickson Kevin Love Minnesota Timberwovles NBA News Nene PER Reggie Evans Simple Rating

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