Mar 15, 2013; New York, NY, USA; Georgetown Hoyas forward Otto Porter (22) controls the ball while defended by Syracuse Orange guard Michael Carter-Williams (1) and forward C.J. Fair (5) and forward Baye Keita (12) during overtime of a semifinal game of the Big East tournament at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

NBA Draft: Prospecting Otto Porter

Ed Weiland’s piece at Hoops Analyst has some interesting numbers and player comps on Porter. His intro:

I can tackle the rest of the SFs in the next article, but I felt Otto Porter deserved his own piece. He’s clearly the best SF in the 2013 draft. The mocks have had him in the top 5 for most of the year.  He led an otherwise unimpressive bunch of Hoyas through a tough Big East to a #2 seed, before bowing out of the tournament early, upset by Florida Gulf Coast. Porter is an all-around SF and those types generally fare pretty well as pros. This seems to be the position more than any other where flashing multiple skills at the college level translates best to NBA success and Otto Porter displayed every skill necessary.

Names like Stacey Augmon and Robert Horry are listed as possible player comparisons and then he drops this nugget…

…the pace of college ball has slowed in the last 20 years. The numbers of all these players other than Morris and Granger were posted in the 90s. The per40 numbers I used, other than Porter’s, are all raw numbers with no pace adjustment. My guess would be that most or of the comps on the list are somewhat bloated compared to today’s numbers because of pace. I doubt an adjustment for era would push Porter’s P40 into the 22-23 range, but I feel this trend is worth pointing out. Perhaps my project this summer will be to clean my files up a little to better reflect modern times. But this is what I have to go with now.

The evolution of advanced statistics is fascinating in that every year a new crucial stat comes out and plays a role in shaping the NBA Draft. Historically, it’s interesting to hear mention of any pace adjustment and the possible inflation of past player profiles. (Alliteration Alert: I needed an avalanche of Advil.)

But honestly, if you’re a Wolves fan and hoping they can trade up for Washington’s #3 — even if they manage to pull that off somehow, there’s no chance Otto Porter drops past #2. So this is moot. Hope Andrei Kirilenko sticks around another year.

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