Alas, we arrive at the NBA Draft Lottery once again.
This was supposed to be the year that the Wolves didn’t have to make an appearance at what has essentially amounted to (an annually disappointing) Christmas Eve for their fans, eventually giving way to (a consistently more disappointing) Christmas/NBA Draft Day in late June.
And Tuesday’s lottery isn’t even of as much importance for the Wolves as it normally ends up being. Minnesota is currently slotted into the 13th pick, with a 96% chance of staying in that exact spot. There is a 1.8% chance that the Wolves could fall to the 14th spot, which would then parlay their pick to the Phoenix Suns as part of the Wesley Johnson trade.
The Wolves only have a .06% chance of winning the lottery, with the likelihood of landing the #2 or #3 pick is .07% and .09%, respectively. The longest odds ever overcome in the lottery was when the Charlotte Hornets cashed in on a .07% chance and moved up to the third spot in the draft.
Jerry Zgoda’s blog at the Minneapolis Star Tribune website included the following sentence:
Expect the Wolves’ search to wait until next week’s lottery — in the hope that the franchise finally might find some elusive luck and get a Top 3 pick that would change both Kevin Love‘s feelings about the team’s future as well as its coaching prospects.
That’s right. If Zgoda’s quote is to be taken at face value, Flip Saunders is indeed banking on a 2.2% chance that the Wolves can move into the top-three. Seems tenuous, doesn’t it?
Of course, skeptics might contend that the Wolves are actually waiting to find out who does indeed end up in the top-three simply to scope out potential trade partners for Kevin Love. This would also help in the coaching search, as any ‘big names’ (George Karl, Tom Izzo, Billy Donovan) would immediately turn down the burden of coaching a Love-less squad.
If Saunders decides to move Love prior to the draft, he can wait on hiring an up-and-coming coach that is probably a current assistant in the league, and if it comes down to it, look for Flip to coach himself while training a promising assistant.
This is all speculation, of course, but on it’s face, it makes a lot more sense than waiting for lottery on the off-chance that the Wolves could reverse years upon years of poor luck.
At any rate, we’ll have some thoughts on Tuesday’s pending lottery in the coming days, and the draft coverage here at DWW will pick-up considerably as well. In the meantime, enjoy the end of the second round and a fantastic Thunder-Clippers series…