Minnesota Timberwolves Season Win Total and Other Betting Analysis
By Andrew Ites
NBA bettors have had an entire offseason to wager on or against the Minnesota Timberwolves, so let’s take a look at where the odds are as we head in to training camp.
The Minnesota Timberwolves aren’t expected to be a title contender this year as they are anywhere from 175/1 to 365/1 to take home the Larry O’Brien trophy.
However, there is money to be made betting on or against the Wolves this season as no one knows exactly what to expect this team with a new head coach and plenty of new faces on the roster.
Vegas has set Minnesota’s win total at 35.5 games this season, and Ben Beecken wrote about how the Wolves should hit the over after they won 36 games last year despite dealing with a ton of drama, a coaching change, and a multitude of injuries.
That win total is kind of a cop out by the oddsmakers as they clearly just set the number where the Wolves’ record ended up last season, but there hasn’t been a ton of movement as it’s hard to have a strong opinion on what Minnesota’s record will look like this year.
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The Wolves are longshots to win the Northwest Division, but they have better odds than the Thunder who the market expects to struggle even though they have some solid players around Chris Paul on that roster, for now.
Vegas doesn’t like the Wolves’ chances to make the playoffs this year as you can win $450 on a $100 bet if they do make the postseason this year.
The Western Conference is absolutely brutal, as it is almost every year, and the new-look Wolves probably don’t fit in the top eight at the moment.
The most intriguing bet on the board may be Karl-Anthony Towns to win the MVP, which is about 50/1 right now. Minnesota probably needs to make the playoffs for KAT to be an MVP candidate even if he puts up insane numbers, but if you think the Wolves are going to be better than expected there’s a good chance that Towns will get most of the credit.
It wouldn’t be shocking for the Wolves to go over their season win total by a few games this season, but there aren’t many other bets on the board that are worth spending money on this preseason.
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If you think Minnesota is going to outplay their expectations this year, I’d put some money on the win total and wait for the regular season to start when the Wolves should be underdogs early and often.