2 reasons Karl-Anthony Towns will make the All-Star team, 2 reasons he won't
By Austin McGee
Why he won't: Poor on/off splits
Perhaps the most surprising factoid is the lack of a positive difference Towns makes when he's on the floor versus when he's off. Of the five starters, Towns is second-to-last in net rating differential, only better than Jaden McDaniels.
Towns' other All-Star counterparts, Edwards and Gobert, have a net differential of 10.9 or more. His point guard, Mike Conley, has a net differential of 8.4. The power forward's net differential doesn't fall off a cliff, but he sits well below the top three at 4.8.
Although Towns is a much-improved defender this season, his defense still lags behind the rest of the starters. The Timberwolves' defensive rating drops to a stellar 103.3 with Towns on the pine as opposed to a 108.6 rating when he's on the floor.
The Kentucky product ranks in the 30th percentile in points allowed per 100 possessions. And even worse, he ranks in the 15th percentile of opponents' effective field goal percentage. When Towns is on the floor, opponents shoot 2.4 percent better against the Wolves.
When assessing Town's offensive on/off splits, it goes as expected. Minnesota's offensive rating skyrockets with Towns on the floor. However, with Towns on the floor, the Timberwolves are far worse at offensive rebounding and getting to the free-throw line. It seems as if Towns' inclusion in the lineup correlates with a lack of physicality.
Finally, not quite an on/off split, but more so a general split, Towns performs better in Timberwolves' losses than in wins. Although the statistics may be a bit skewed by his 62-point outburst, Towns is better in most statistical categories when the Wolves lose.