Best NBA prop bets today for Suns vs. Timberwolves Game 1 (Which bench players can play a role?)

Apr 3, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker (9)
Apr 3, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker (9) / Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports
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The Suns and Timberwolves tip-off one of the most intriguing matchups of the entire postseason in a battle of contrasting styles. 

The T’Wolves rely on its elite size and defense while the Suns are all about its offense and knocking down jump shots in order to out-pace defenses. How will that play out across a best of seven series? Who will have the edge? Who will benefit (or hurt) in the player prop market? 

Here’s our player prop preview for Saturday’s Game 1

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Best prop bets for Suns vs. Timberwolves

  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker OVER 6.5 Points
  • Naz Reid OVER 4.5 Rebounds
  • Grayson Allen OVER 2.5 Three Pointers Made

Nickeil Alexander-Walker OVER 6.5 Points

The T’Wolves may need to play one true big man at a time in this series as the versatile Suns offense may punish the likes of Karl-Anthony Towns, Rudy Gobert and Naz Reid on the perimeter, meaning the team may have to trot out an extra wing. 

To me, Alexander-Walker is a big swing piece in this series. The scoring-minded wing has a ton of length to beat the mediocre Suns defense and can score both inside and out. 

He only scored three points in 18 minutes in the most recent meeting last Sunday, but prior to that he scored eight points in 23 minutes and 13 in 22 minutes. I believe that this is a natural pivot for Finch to inject some offense on the floor when he deploys his bench unit, and this is a modest bar for him to clear. 

Naz Reid OVER 4.5 Rebounds

While minutes could be a concern for the Minnesota frontcourt, I think this line is relatively safe for the Sixth Man of the Year candidate. 

Towns didn’t play in the second meeting in which he grabbed 11 rebounds in 32 minutes, but he also grabbed four in both of the other two minutes. I believe that Reid’s perimeter defense can give him more minutes than expectation as well if KAT continues to be somewhat limited on the perimeter. 

This is right about Reid’s season long average, but I believe there’s a path to more usage from him in this matchup where the T’Wolves try to counter the Suns and Reid can even see some time as a small-ball five. 

I’ll go over in the opener. 

Grayson Allen OVER 2.5 Three Pointers Made

The Suns have counters for the Minnesota defense and Allen may be deployed early and often. I’m not sure where Finch looks to put Towns early, but I expect Allen to be used in off-ball motion often. He has been incredibly efficient against the Timberwolves this season as well, making at least three three-point shots in each of the three wins for the Suns. 

Allen is one of the best three-point shooters in the league this season at over 42%, I believe Minnesota struggles to find an answer for him. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.